March 20, 2026

    Articles

    2026-03-18

    Is the Drought Retreating? 12 of 21 Cyprus Reservoirs Exceed Last Year's Levels

    Updated Fragmata analysis: forecast improved, water deficit unlikely.

    Two weeks ago, in our first article about the Fragmata dashboard, we wrote: "the crisis is real, but cyclical — not catastrophic." The forecast model, trained on 38 years of hydrological data, predicted that reservoirs would reach their minimum by the end of 2026, followed by recovery. Since then, sustained rainfall over the Troodos mountains has accelerated that scenario. According to the Water Development Department's data for 18 March, total storage of the main reservoirs rose to 22.2% (64.7 MCM) — up from 20.6% (59.9 MCM) just sixteen days earlier. What's more: 12 of 21 reservoirs have already surpassed last year's levels on the same date.

    2026-03-02

    Cyprus Reservoirs at 20.6% with Forecast Down to 7% — But 38 Years of Data Promise a Turnaround

    Analysis of current Cyprus reservoir levels and forecast based on 38 years of hydrological data.

    Cyprus reservoirs stand at 20.6% — 59.9 million cubic metres out of 316. According to the Water Development Department's report of 2 March 2026, the situation remains severe: the government has already imposed a 10% island-wide cut in water supply, and the largest reservoir, Kouris, holds just 18.9% of its capacity. However, a fresh analysis of 38 years of hydrological data reveals what the headlines miss: Cyprus droughts are cyclical, and the current cycle is approaching its turning point.