Is the Drought Retreating? 12 of 21 Cyprus Reservoirs Exceed Last Year's Levels
Updated Fragmata analysis: forecast improved, water deficit unlikely.
Two weeks ago, in our first article about the Fragmata dashboard, we wrote: "the crisis is real, but cyclical — not catastrophic." The forecast model, trained on 38 years of hydrological data, predicted that reservoirs would reach their minimum by the end of 2026, followed by recovery. Since then, sustained rainfall over the Troodos mountains has accelerated that scenario. According to the Water Development Department's data for 18 March, total storage of the main reservoirs rose to 22.2% (64.7 MCM) — up from 20.6% (59.9 MCM) just sixteen days earlier. What's more: 12 of 21 reservoirs have already surpassed last year's levels on the same date.